Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Analytical Question #3

There is the gun with six chambers and two bullets placed in adjecent chambers. Close the barrel, spin it, and pull the trigger. The slot was found empty. Now if I point the gun against you and want to pull the trigger, which one do you prefer , that I spin the barrel first or that I just pull the trigger?

X X _ _ _ _
1 2 3 4 5 6

  • When fired initially, the position should have been any of 3, 4, 5, 6.Had it been 6, I will get hit next time , otherwise not. i.e. out of next 4 new positions 4, 5, 6, and 1, the chances that I get hit is 1/4.
  • If spun again the chance I get hit is 2/6 = 1/3.

So I would go with out spinning

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